Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.036643 0.039608 0.042721 0.046238 0.050106 0.054238 0.058993
2025-02-23 0.031923 0.036120 0.040773 0.046334 0.052828 0.060199 0.069245
2025-03-02 0.028756 0.033664 0.039333 0.046408 0.055059 0.065366 0.078686
2025-03-09 0.026045 0.031318 0.037609 0.045737 0.056054 0.068845 0.086105
2025-03-16 0.023775 0.029229 0.035915 0.044807 0.056460 0.071409 0.092356
2025-03-23 0.022105 0.027711 0.034751 0.044358 0.057317 0.074465 0.099345
2025-03-30 0.020690 0.026393 0.033705 0.043921 0.058065 0.077323 0.106174
2025-04-06 0.019287 0.024978 0.032415 0.043021 0.058049 0.079041 0.111420
2025-04-13 0.018549 0.024393 0.032174 0.043504 0.059946 0.083526 0.121019
2025-04-20 0.017720 0.023623 0.031617 0.043481 0.061074 0.086923 0.129196
2025-04-27 0.017161 0.023187 0.031485 0.044033 0.063048 0.091673 0.139843
2025-05-04 0.016396 0.022415 0.030825 0.043755 0.063725 0.094449 0.147496
2025-05-11 0.015712 0.021730 0.030260 0.043592 0.064583 0.097591 0.156086
2025-05-18 0.015025 0.021004 0.029596 0.043233 0.065095 0.100197 0.163977
2025-05-25 0.014479 0.020458 0.029164 0.043198 0.066105 0.103664 0.173663
2025-06-01 0.013817 0.019706 0.028382 0.042558 0.066073 0.105354 0.180255
2025-06-08 0.013148 0.018912 0.027497 0.041699 0.065610 0.106252 0.185421
2025-06-15 0.012634 0.018331 0.026911 0.041286 0.065862 0.108395 0.193114
2025-06-22 0.012156 0.017786 0.026353 0.040885 0.066100 0.110508 0.200916
2025-06-29 0.011613 0.017115 0.025566 0.040058 0.065535 0.111110 0.205724
2025-07-06 0.011382 0.016925 0.025536 0.040502 0.067241 0.116007 0.219756
2025-07-13 0.011064 0.016584 0.025246 0.040481 0.068100 0.119359 0.230866
2025-07-20 0.010873 0.016436 0.025262 0.040988 0.069948 0.124732 0.246858